Field Note: #005

Africa’s New Equation: Health × Women = Growth³

Across Africa, the conversation is shifting from healthcare as expenditure to healthcare as production. The question is no longer it as the highest priority but where returns compound fastest. Evidence from primary care, women’s health and frontline systems points to the same conclusion: productive health systems are economic infrastructure.
01
Quick Takes
"If growth is the goal, health is the input. And women’s health is where the productivity curve goes vertical."
$721 saved per additional primary care visit.
Each visit upstream prevents costs downstream. Early care pays back because it reduces avoidable escalation.
$3,976 saved for a first primary care visit.
The first contact carries outsized value. It catches problems while they are still manageable.
$16,406 saved for high-risk patients.
High-risk care shows where systems win or lose. Strong frontline pathways turn complexity into continuity.
$3 return to GDP for every $1 in women’s health.
Women hold households, work and community stability together. Healthier women stabilise economies.
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01. The Healthcare Production Model

AFYA Fest 2025 surfaced a practical frame: healthcare as production. The output is not a number of appointments.

The output is sustained wellbeing per unit of spend. Primary care demonstrates this clearly.

Studies show savings per additional visit, larger savings from first visits and steep savings for high-risk patients. The value is created through earlier contact, better follow-up and fewer late-stage interventions.

Source: PMC Study

02. The Largest Return Sits in Women’s Health

Women’s health offers one of the clearest GDP multipliers available. For every $1 invested, $3 returns to GDP.

The pathway is direct: fewer days lost to unmanaged conditions, steadier participation in work, reduced caregiving burden and healthier children with better long-term outcomes.

This is compounding value embedded in daily life.

Source: McKinsey

03. Frontline Access Determines System Output

Frontline facilities are where most care begins. In Senegal, 80.5% of households rely on health posts as their closest facility, with an average distance of 4.3 km.

That access point sets the ceiling for what a system can produce. When frontline workers have tools, training and referral pathways, communities receive earlier diagnosis, better continuity and fewer emergency escalations.

Source: WHO

04. The Productivity Loop

Investing in frontline capability creates a loop: earlier care reduces downstream cost, reduced cost frees capacity, capacity improves access and improved access keeps people productive.

This is how health becomes shared growth. It starts with the frontline and accelerates through coordination.

More Field Notes

  • Field Note: #005

Africa’s New Equation: Health × Women = Growth³

Across Africa, the conversation is shifting from healthcare as expenditure to healthcare as production. The question is no longer it as the highest priority but where returns compound fastest. Evidence from primary care, women’s health and frontline systems points to the same conclusion: productive health systems are economic infrastructure.
  • Field Note: #004

Warm Welcomes, Not Waiting Rooms: A New Category of Care

Across healthcare, a pattern is emerging. When care feels approachable, people arrive earlier, stay engaged longer and follow through more consistently. A reliably growing ecosystem of care turning care into lifestyle. It is about trust, continuity and environments that make it easier to ask questions before problems escalate. Providers are redesigning the front door of care and the results are starting to show.
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